Freight Pulse & Law Update: Ocean Rates Surge 400% on Capacity Control, Rhine Crisis Deepens, IRS Curbs Jones Act Tax Break
Ocean spot rates are surging despite China-to-U.S. volumes falling approximately 1%. Carriers, not demand, are controlling available capacity as inland waterways and regulatory requirements add further pressure.
Why are ocean rates rising while demand is flat?
The top 10 container lines control roughly 90% of global capacity and remain exempt from U.S. antitrust law. Through blank sailings and other capacity controls, carriers are tightening supply and lifting prices.
Asia–U.S. West Coast: approximately $7,400/FEU, up 9% week over week
Asia–U.S. East Coast: approximately $9,400/FEU, up 3% and a new high
Asia–Northern Europe: cooling to approximately $4,700/FEU
Yang Ming: reported a 482% profit surge
Read the FreightWaves rate analysis.

How is the Rhine crisis affecting inland freight?
Record-low water near Kaub, reported as low as 7cm, has reduced barge capacity to roughly 20% of normal.
Low-water surcharges: up to €1,350/TEU near Kaub and €895/TEU near Cologne
Approximately 35% of Rotterdam hinterland containers move by barge
Truck capacity in constrained areas can take up to two weeks to secure
Shippers should model alternate rail, truck, and warehouse capacity before cargo arrives.
What changed under the Jones Act waiver?
Effective August 17 through November 15, 2026, every foreign-flag coastwise voyage requires a Vessel Availability Request to the Department of War, MARAD, and CBP, plus a 24-hour U.S.-flag market survey.
Eligibility is limited to 237 HTS codes
Waiver voyages must be documented case by case
The IRS confirmed related income is ineligible for standard international shipping tax exemptions
What should fleets inspect during Brake Safety Week?
DOT/CVSA Brake Safety Week runs August 23–29, focusing on drums and rotors. Inspect:
Cracks, excessive wear, grooves, and rust
Missing sections or exposed vents
Manufacturer discard limits and minimum thickness
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